Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 67153.833521 71039.473379 74931.041596 79118.047766 83492.597789 87925.253240 92753.369584
2025-04-20 61124.026034 67079.887040 73218.604195 80009.340576 87301.510881 94887.527511 103366.450844
2025-04-27 56986.771256 64383.810453 72182.048075 80996.784041 90663.962150 100923.736632 112615.895676
2025-05-04 53522.804435 61974.545919 71055.508200 81506.451710 93169.197450 105751.011383 120317.086977
2025-05-11 50411.673475 59658.306951 69761.319561 81573.119330 94955.310084 109597.236881 126778.685431
2025-05-18 47877.866597 57787.237927 68779.058783 81812.270907 96777.811477 113357.246609 133043.901357
2025-05-25 45601.654269 56054.897912 67812.858084 81935.917389 98352.706143 116746.402462 138821.826301
2025-06-01 44131.107228 55155.937519 67714.519988 82975.930676 100911.591346 121210.223366 145803.653655
2025-06-08 42167.751065 53568.878790 66717.735514 82878.614373 102074.143970 124010.231910 150830.113685
2025-06-15 41109.370484 52999.789795 66866.570762 84083.834061 104728.709151 128524.946405 157853.730905
2025-06-22 39881.891326 52161.450479 66637.980863 84789.823902 106754.754418 132282.336576 163987.365080
2025-06-29 38407.411354 50954.475438 65905.746789 84835.194816 107946.858241 135024.521071 168906.813525
2025-07-06 36934.660940 49708.293265 65093.980625 84762.501526 108990.871594 137604.176465 173672.656004
2025-07-13 36142.580699 49283.318226 65266.796601 85879.210612 111474.806366 141920.386380 180552.703881
2025-07-20 35390.896140 48874.819383 65431.633049 86964.228890 113909.017930 146179.963359 187386.879502
2025-07-27 34438.358873 48169.366261 65190.076619 87512.926706 115660.992675 149602.735352 193213.086628
2025-08-03 33326.379975 47215.686473 64597.128739 87585.522265 116794.354869 152253.334013 198093.950736
2025-08-10 32358.427873 46415.573224 64168.916237 87839.293796 118134.305312 155148.723289 203280.306889
2025-08-17 31390.355093 45581.334484 63666.240461 87970.366719 119298.745700 157816.106370 208187.177506
2025-08-24 30884.174629 45345.128740 63924.737392 89071.951831 121694.397738 162027.575490 215040.596984
2025-08-31 29906.369822 44439.327576 63276.628156 88968.887546 122527.468105 164267.212403 219426.146707
2025-09-07 29533.396007 44343.769980 63687.435520 90245.264457 125139.153358 168762.927108 226678.352159
2025-09-14 28969.862234 43966.032687 63706.327208 90992.844105 127060.294557 172387.504510 232847.508932